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GDP

Prescriptions vary

Within global economies, America’s resilience shines brightly, defying the dire predictions of naysayers and sceptics. Against a backdrop of uncertainty and volatility, the US economy has emerged as a bastion of strength and vitality, demonstrating a remarkable ability to weather storms and navigate through turbulent waters.

Risk an opportunity for the brave

Money makes the world go round, so sang Sally Bowles in the famous movie Cabaret. Money today keeps the global economy ticking, and if the central banks stop printing money, we would already be in a 1930s Depression.

Beyond GDP

In the narrative of a nation’s economic performance, GDP growth often takes centre stage, like the star student’s report card that parents eagerly await.

Moment of Reckoning

In post-Covid times, the Fed embarked on a most aggressive and irresponsible monetary policy of hiking interest rates, leading to predictable financial instability all over. All other countries including India have been blindly following its prescriptions even when interest rate hikes were clearly failing to arrest inflation

Daring to Dream 

Indian industry saw progressive liberalisation and removal of bottlenecks after 2014, beginning with increasing the cap in the defence sector, first from 26 per cent to 49 per cent under the approval route, and then to 74 per cent under the automatic route and 100 per cent under the approval route. All brownfield projects now allow 75 per cent FDI under the automatic route and 100 per cent by the approval route  

Ill-winds

The adverse factors affecting the US and European economies put our own economy at risk. To enumerate: the Indian economy faces the danger of capital outflow because of higher US interest rates. Then, we are importing inflation through higher cost of imported goods and because household incomes in the West are falling, our own exports are unlikely to rise in the short run, ruling out a quick solution to the CAD problem