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Trinamool Congress (TMC)

Muslim vote

Much has been written about the possible impact on the Trinamool Congress’ minority support base due to the AIMIM’s entry. The fact is that with more than a 30 per cent vote share, Muslims are a deciding factor in at least 90 Assembly segments in the state.

Supreme irony

The Left Front, which has borne the brunt of the Trinamool Congress’ intimidatory tactics over the past decade, may not be unhappy if it manages to stem the haemorrhaging of its voter base; the BJP manages to unseat the ruling party which is likely to crumble without the ability to dispense patronage, and it has a clear ideological opponent in the saffron party to take on in 2026.