Today’s Chanakya’s exit poll indicates possibility of hung assembly in Kerala

Today’s Chanakya exit poll predicts a close fight between the CPM-led LDF and Congress-led UDF in Kerala indicating the possibility of a hung assembly in Kerala.

The exit poll, while predicting a favorable outcome for the UDF, does not ruin the hopes of the LDF. It is noteworthy that this poll result does not say that the UDF will get a comfortable majority. It also shows the possibility of the BJP-led NDA winning double-digit seats.

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According to the figures released on Thursday, while the UDF is predicted to win 60 to 78 seats, the LDF is likely to win 55 to 73 seats. Along with this, the prediction also says that the NDA will also make big gains in the polls. Chanakya predicts that the alliance will become a decisive force by winning 3 to 11 seats. If that happens, it is expected that there will be a hung assembly in Kerala this time.

Today’s Chanakya exit poll highlights community-wise voting preferences for Kerala’s election. The poll suggests strong backing for the UDF among Muslim and Christian groups. The survey says that 62 percent of the Muslim votes have gone into the UDF’s box. The LDF got 33 percent and the BJP 4 per cent. The UDF is predicted to get 53 percent of the Christian votes, the LDF 34 per cent and the BJP 11 per cent.

The BJP is predicted to get 39 per cent of the Nair votes, the UDF will have to be satisfied with 32 per cent and the LDF with 28 per cent. The survey also says that the LDF will continue to have the upper hand in the case of the Ezhava community. The LDF is projected to get about 47 per cent of the Ezhava votes, the UDF about 20 per cent of the votes and the BJP about 32 per cent.

In the Scheduled Caste category, the LDF is predicted to get 49 per cent, the UDF 31 per cent and the BJP 18 per cent. In terms of total vote share, the UDF is expected to get 40 per cent, the LDF 38 per cent and the NDA 20 per cent.
Today’s Chanakya gained massive attention in 2021 by correctly predicting that the LDF would break the four-decade-old “alternating government” tradition to win a second consecutive term.