The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is set to sweep the West Bengal Assembly elections 2026, with Today’s Chanakya exit poll predicting 192 seats (±9) for the saffron party. The ruling TMC’s tally could come down to 100 seats, the survey predicted.
According to the survey, the saffron party is poised to secure 48 per cent of votes. The survey indicates a big gap between the vote share of the BJP and the TMC, with the ruling party likely to get 38 per cent of the total votes polled.
Others, including the Congress and the Left, are likely to win 2 seats with 14 per cent vote share.
If the exit poll numbers hold true, the BJP could come to power in West Bengal for the first time, ending the 15-year rule of the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress.
With this, at least six of the eight major exit polls have predicted a BJP victory in Bengal. Two surveys, however, projected the TMC to return to power with 177-205 seats.
Predictions of other major exit polls
According to Janmat Polls, the TMC and allies are projected to win 195-205 seats in West Bengal, while the BJP+ alliance could secure 80-90 seats. Congress+ is predicted to win 1-3 seats, Left+ 0-1 and others 3-5 seats.
JVC has projected a close contest with TMC+ likely to secure 131-152 seats and BJP+ 138-159 seats. Congress+ may win 0-2 seats, Left+ 0-1 and others 0-1 seats.
According to Matrize, BJP+ is projected to emerge ahead with 146-161 seats, while TMC+ could secure 125-140 seats. Others are predicted to win 6-10 seats.
P-Marq has projected 150-175 seats for BJP+ and 118-138 seats for TMC+, while others could secure 2-6 seats.
Peoples Pulse has predicted a strong performance for TMC+ with 177-187 seats, while BJP+ is projected to get 95-110 seats. Congress+ may secure 1-3 seats and Left+ 0-1 seats.
Poll Diary has projected BJP+ to win 142-171 seats and TMC+ 99-127 seats. Congress+ may get 3-5 seats, Left+ 2-3 and others 0-1 seats.
Praja Poll has projected a massive victory for BJP+ with 178-208 seats, while TMC+ is likely to secure 85-110 seats. Others could win up to five seats.